Connecting income to capital growth and potential inequality발음듣기
Connecting income to capital growth and potential inequality
If you have a market capitalist economy, that this will lead, hopefully, to economic growth.발음듣기
But by definition, a market economy will have some folks who win more and some folks who don't do as well, and you're also going to have inequality.발음듣기
So, inequality is essentially a fact of life of a market economy, and it's not necessarily something that you just want to turn off, because that might also hurt economic growth.발음듣기
And that might actually make everyone better off because the economic growth on a per-capita basis could also be benefiting people who aren't in the top percentile or decile or quartile.발음듣기
But with that thought in the back of our minds, let's actually think a little bit more about inequality, and how it's measured, and how it can be tied to things like capital and growth of income to capital and returns on capital.발음듣기
So, this right over here... This is from Thomas Piketty's book and what's neat is that he's made all the charts from his book available online, right over there.발음듣기
So this point right here tells us that in 1910, the top ten percent of earners made a little over 40 percent of the national income.발음듣기
And then as we go through the great depression, and especially after World War II, this drops down into the low 30 percents, and then from the 1980s to the present, this has crept back up to the high 40 percent range.발음듣기
So, the top decile, the top ten percent of earners, are making close to half of the national income.발음듣기
And let's say that this is the fraction, I'll do it in orange, that's going to the top decile.발음듣기
So, the way that you have rising - so on this chart, this would be kind of a 33.3, so it would be someplace around here.발음듣기
And now the way that you have this chart moving up where you have the top decile having a larger and larger share of national income, as if this orange section grows faster than this green section.발음듣기
So, if, for example, this grew by ten percent, while this grew by five percent, over time this orange section is going to take a larger and larger chunk of the green section.발음듣기
Now, as we saw in previous videos, even if this does happen, and this is by defition rising inequality, there could be a scenario where the other 90% are still having a bigger pie, and on a per-capita basis still might be able to be better off.발음듣기
The focus of the video is tying this idea to the idea of increasing returns on capital driving this phenomenon. Driving inequality. Income inequality.발음듣기
So, as we've seen before, income and wealth are not the same thing, but wealth could be a proxy, the more wealth that you have, you will have more income from that wealth, you will have return on that capital.발음듣기
So, another way to divide the economy is instead of thinking of the top ten percent of earners and the other 90% of earners, you could think of how much of this income goes to the owners of capital and how much of it goes to the people who provide the labor, so it's more of a labor capital split, versus the bottom 90%, top 10% split.발음듣기
So here we could think of this section right over here, and I'll just make it a different, so let's say this is right over here.발음듣기
To capital, to owners of capital, the people who own the buildings, the real estate, the resources, and how much of national income is going to labor, so this right over here.발음듣기
Now, a similar idea is look - if this blue section grows consistently faster than the green pie, then the percentage of income that goes to capital is going to grow more and more and more, and because in capitalist market economy, capital is also not evenly distributed, mainly because income is not evenly distributed, because capital is not evenly distributed, that this would essentially lead.발음듣기
As more and more income goes to capital and that capital is disproportionately owned by the upper decile of income or wealth, it's essentially going to drive this phenomenon right over there.발음듣기
Now, I want to be very clear, this growth right over here - you'll hear the term "return on capital," in conjunction with Picketty's book where they compare the return on capital to growth rates, this growth right over here is not the return on capital.발음듣기
You need to know the income that the capital generated, but you also need to know the value of that capital, and here in this diagram, all I know is the income that the capital the income generated, but I don't know the value of that capital, so I can't calculate the return on capital.발음듣기
This growth, that I'm showing right over here, maybe after a few years this blue section grows to over here, while the green section - while the pie has grown something like this.발음듣기
This growth right over here, you could view this as the growth of income to capital, which isn't something you hear a lot about.발음듣기
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