Banking 12: Treasuries (government debt)

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Banking 12: Treasuries (government debt)발음듣기

Let's review a little bit of what we've learned about reserve banking and then we'll extend this to the notion of an elastic money supplier, a money supplier that can grow or contract as people need money - or hopefully grows and contracts as people need money.발음듣기

So let me create a couple of normal commercial banks.발음듣기

Maybe I'll call these national banks.발음듣기

They have a national charter.발음듣기

So let's see.발음듣기

I have some equity and part of that equity - most of it is some gold that I initially capitalized the bank with.발음듣기

And then some of it is a building.발음듣기

Trying to draw this as neat as possible, but I think you understand my situation.발음듣기

Then I take some gold deposits from whoever - the farmers after the crop has been harvested.발음듣기

And then offsetting that, I have all of the farmers' deposits.발음듣기

I'll do that in a blue color.발음듣기

So that's one farmer's deposit.발음듣기

That's another - maybe there's only two farmers.발음듣기

And then we learned in fractional reserve banking that I can leverage up this amount of capital I have.발음듣기

There's a certain ratio between the amount of capital - in this case, gold or reserves I have - and the amount of demand deposits I can have.발음듣기

So let's say my reserve requirement in this world is - just because I don't want this bank to become too tall - let's say it's 50%.발음듣기

We know in reality reserve requirements are more like 10%.발음듣기

Let me write that down.발음듣기

So that means that my ratio of gold to demand deposit accounts cannot be any less than 50%.발음듣기

So whatever this amount is, I can double it in terms of demand deposit accounts and the way I do that - let's say this is collectively 100 so I could have up to 100.발음듣기

Let's say this right here, this is 50.발음듣기

So I can have up to 200 in demand deposit accounts.발음듣기

So I can essentially lend out money and create demand deposit accounts.발음듣기

This is all review for you, hopefully.발음듣기

So I could lend out 150.발음듣기

Those are my liabilities and then these are my loans and my - so that's one loan I make out and I just create someone's checking account.발음듣기

That's the loan asset and I create a demand deposit account for them.발음듣기

That's the liability.발음듣기

This here could be a big loan, et cetera.발음듣기

And then I'm not the only bank in this universe.발음듣기

My other bank in the universe.발음듣기

I just want to show you that there are multiple banks.발음듣기

Then we said there are a couple of issues with this.발음듣기

You have a 50% reserve requirement, which is very high, but what if there is a situation where for whatever reason your reserves temporarily drop below that 50%?발음듣기

How do you get that extra gold?발음듣기

You don't want to go to people and say, can I have a little bit more gold?발음듣기

Then they're going to get scared and all pull out of your system, but if you're a little bit below 50%,발음듣기

but if the other bank is a little bit above 50%, it'd be a convenient way if you could borrow from that other bank - or even better, if there was a central depository where all of these gold reserves were, then you could just borrow directly from that central depository if there were no other bank to borrow from.발음듣기

So you could kind of view it as a lender of last resort and we'll go into more of the technicalities of that one, in particular talk about our current system.발음듣기

With that said, we created a reserve bank where we put these deposits.발음듣기

Let's see.발음듣기

There's 200 of deposits in this world.발음듣기

Let see me if I can just copy and paste that.발음듣기

So that's one of the reserves and then they're the same, so then that's the other reserve.발음듣기

It doesn't look that neat.발음듣기

All the banks got together and created this.발음듣기

It's a private bank, but we'll go into more details of how the actual Federal Reserve works.발음듣기

So those are the actual gold reserves.발음듣기

Those are the assets of that bank.발음듣기

Actually, I should move it over some.발음듣기

OK. And then the liabilities for this central reserve bank, these are the demand deposit accounts for these nationally chartered banks.발음듣기

So he took all of his gold, put it here, and so now he has - to simplify it, he has a demand deposit account, but I'll assume that he just got reserve notes to show that he had access to this gold.발음듣기

So let's say that this is 100 notes outstanding.발음듣기

This part corresponding to 100 gold pieces - and this is another 100 - although notes outstanding, it's fungible, you could mix them up because you don't know where they came from or whatever.발음듣기

That's what's different about those relative to a checking account.발음듣기

And so essentially this guy gives his gold here and in exchange he gets these Federal Reserve notes, which are like green pieces of paper.발음듣기

And now these are actually his reserves.발음듣기

His reserves are no longer gold.발음듣기

His reserves are how much of these Federal Reserve notes he has?발음듣기

And we learned in the last video that only the Federal Reserve - or the reserve bank - I haven't called it the Federal Reserve yet, but I think you see where this is going - only they can issue these notes.발음듣기

And these notes are these rectangular green pieces of paper with faces of presidents on them, et cetera, et cetera.발음듣기

And let's say in the government we live in, they kind of sanction - even though this is officially a private bank, this reserve bank, it's set up in such a way that even though all of the original banks might have originally capitalized it with some equity, they really don't get any of the profits of this bank - and I'll go into detail on how the actual Federal Reserve works.발음듣기

But let's just say any surplus profits of this bank actually just go back to the Federal government.발음듣기

So the Federal government doesn't - these banks don't make any money off of this - and actually let's say that the board of directors of this bank is actually appointed by the government, et cetera, et cetera.발음듣기

So it's key to the financial system.발음듣기

So the government says, these notes, sure, it's issued by this reserve bank, but we want people to have a lot of faith in this currency because this is the currency that we use in our world, in our nation, so in order for people to have unlimited faith in this currency, we are going to make it an obligation of the government - so it's issued by the bank.발음듣기

Let me write that down.발음듣기

This used to confuse me to no end.발음듣기

Issued by the reserve bank, but it's an obligation of the government.발음듣기

Now, what does that mean?발음듣기

Well, that means that if for whatever reason - even if this reserve bank were to somehow not have the gold to back it up, it would go bankrupt, but even in that situation, the government would still be obligated to give you the gold equivalent of these notes, whatever we decide it is.발음듣기

Maybe it's 35 of these dollars per ounce of gold or whatever.발음듣기

But that's what that means.발음듣기

So that gives a lot of people confidence that these things are, you can almost say, as good as gold.발음듣기

Why does it matter that the government - how can you trust the government?발음듣기

Well, the government can just tax people, whether they're going to tax them in terms of dollars, whether they can tax them in terms of gold, whether they can tax them in terms of goods and services.발음듣기

So as long as you think that that economy - whatever the economy is that this government is governing over - as long as you think that that economy can somehow support the gold to back this up, you should say, this is as good as gold - or at least support the goods and services.발음듣기

Well, that said, let's introduce the notion of an elastic currency.발음듣기

Actually before I do that, let's go back to one thing this government does.발음듣기

So we said it's an obligation of the government, right?발음듣기

Which means if all else fails, the government is going to give you the value behind these notes.발음듣기

I'll introduce you to another concept, which is actually very similar to these notes - and that is a government debt or government borrowing.발음듣기

Let me draw that down here.발음듣기

I think I'm going to run out of time, but I'll continue it in the next video.발음듣기

So I'm the government, right?발음듣기

I mean, you could almost view the government's asset as its ability to tax people, but if I'm the government and I issue these government IOUs - and we'll call them treasury bonds and bills - let's call them treasuries, generally.발음듣기

Treasury bills are short term treasuries where the government borrows for a shorter amount of time.발음듣기

Bonds are longer term.발음듣기

I think I've gone over that in the yield curve video, but I'll do that in more detail.발음듣기

But they're just IOUs from the government.발음듣기

Now, these are going to be considered as risk free.발음듣기

Why are they considered risk free?발음듣기

Because they are denominated in the same currency that the government, that the economy that this government governs over, operates in.발음듣기

So if this government - and I think you can understand that this is essentially the U.S. government - if it borrows money from you - so it gives you an IOU.발음듣기

So this is me.발음듣기

Let's say this is me, this is the government.발음듣기

If it gives me this IOU and I give it $100, why do I know that this IOU is risk free?발음듣기

Well, because unless he starts - the government - I'm making him masculine - but unless they start issuing an unusual number of IOUs and just have so much interest that they can't sustain, you know that they can always tax more people to get you back your $100.발음듣기

So you view this thing right here as risk free.발음듣기

So whenever the government goes out there and says, hey everyone, we have a new war we want to fight or some new type of scheme, new bureaucracy we would like to create, we are going to borrow money from you - someone is going to give them their currency, their Federal Reserve notes - and in exchange, the government's going to give them these risk free IOUs.발음듣기

And then the government can use these reserve notes to go buy goods and services or pay soldiers or pay the bureaucrats.발음듣기

Now we're going to use that idea in the next video to learn how this Federal Reserve bank or this reserve bank can buy and sell these government securities in order to change the money supply.발음듣기

See you in the next video.발음듣기

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