Moderate inflation in a good economy

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Moderate inflation in a good economy

Any economy is a super complicated thing.

So what I am going to do in this video is a super over simplification.

But it is just a way of thinking about things.

In particular, I want to think about why good economies tend to be associated with a moderate level of inflation.

And that will also help inform us when we are thinking about Stagflation when we have inflation with a bad economy.

So, a good economy, employment is up.

And because employment is up, employees have more negotiating power There's more people who want to hire them, there is fewer people who wants their jobs, And so wages will go up.

And since you have more people with jobs, And those who have jobs are being paid more, You can imagine that demand will also go up.

There is more people that have money in their pockets.

And if demand goes up, Then companies, or you can think of them as factories, But it can also be services, Then everything will be utilized more.

And if things are utilized more, Then the companies or those factories or whatever you want to think of them, They are going to have more profit.

On top of that, if they get close to fully utilization, Or if they see that fully utilization is down the road, They are going to want to invest more.

And, they could actually push off that utilization and get more profit, by maybe raising prices.

So this is where that moderate of inflation, really shows up.

The fact that there is more demand, the fact that you can produce a little bit more, and it could raise prices a little bit more.

So this is where, the moderate level of inflation shows up.

And there is a little bit of a negative feedback, if price goes up.

It will inhibit demand a little bit.

And that is why it is moderate inflation, not some type of crazy inflationary spiral here.

But the net effect of more utilization, and more investment is going to be an increase in supply is going to be an increase in supply.

And once again, And this is kind of e-con 101, If supply goes up, price will also have an inhibitory impact on price.

So let me draw, so we get all the feedback loops here.

So this is negative feedback right over there.

But to complete the loop, if we are investing more, we are going to build more factories.

Or some more capacity to do services or whatever else.

That is going to increase employment.

If we have more profit, Then a company feels better about growing, It feels more like it have a cushion, and feels more optimistic about the future, that is going to help employment.

And obviously, utilization itself if we want to run the factory lines longer, we are going to need more people to run those lines.

So that will also increase employment.

This is like the general feedback loop you can add little nuanced twists to this, but this is the general idea of a why a moderate level of inflation is kind of associated with this virtuous cycle you normally see in a good economy.

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Moderate inflation in a good economy발음듣기

다른 번역문 등록

Any economy is a super complicated thing.발음듣기

다른 번역문 등록

So what I am going to do in this video is a super over simplification.발음듣기

다른 번역문 등록

But it is just a way of thinking about things.발음듣기

다른 번역문 등록

In particular, I want to think about why good economies tend to be associated with a moderate level of inflation.발음듣기

다른 번역문 등록

And that will also help inform us when we are thinking about Stagflation when we have inflation with a bad economy.발음듣기

다른 번역문 등록

So, a good economy, employment is up.발음듣기

다른 번역문 등록

And because employment is up, employees have more negotiating power There's more people who want to hire them, there is fewer people who wants their jobs, And so wages will go up.발음듣기

다른 번역문 등록

And since you have more people with jobs, And those who have jobs are being paid more, You can imagine that demand will also go up.발음듣기

다른 번역문 등록

There is more people that have money in their pockets.발음듣기

다른 번역문 등록

And if demand goes up, Then companies, or you can think of them as factories, But it can also be services, Then everything will be utilized more.발음듣기

다른 번역문 등록

And if things are utilized more, Then the companies or those factories or whatever you want to think of them, They are going to have more profit.발음듣기

다른 번역문 등록

On top of that, if they get close to fully utilization, Or if they see that fully utilization is down the road, They are going to want to invest more.발음듣기

다른 번역문 등록

And, they could actually push off that utilization and get more profit, by maybe raising prices.발음듣기

다른 번역문 등록

So this is where that moderate of inflation, really shows up.발음듣기

다른 번역문 등록

The fact that there is more demand, the fact that you can produce a little bit more, and it could raise prices a little bit more.발음듣기

다른 번역문 등록

So this is where, the moderate level of inflation shows up.발음듣기

다른 번역문 등록

And there is a little bit of a negative feedback, if price goes up.발음듣기

다른 번역문 등록

It will inhibit demand a little bit.발음듣기

다른 번역문 등록

And that is why it is moderate inflation, not some type of crazy inflationary spiral here.발음듣기

다른 번역문 등록

But the net effect of more utilization, and more investment is going to be an increase in supply is going to be an increase in supply.발음듣기

다른 번역문 등록

And once again, And this is kind of e-con 101, If supply goes up, price will also have an inhibitory impact on price.발음듣기

다른 번역문 등록

So let me draw, so we get all the feedback loops here.발음듣기

다른 번역문 등록

So this is negative feedback right over there.발음듣기

다른 번역문 등록

But to complete the loop, if we are investing more, we are going to build more factories.발음듣기

다른 번역문 등록

Or some more capacity to do services or whatever else.발음듣기

다른 번역문 등록

That is going to increase employment.발음듣기

다른 번역문 등록

If we have more profit, Then a company feels better about growing, It feels more like it have a cushion, and feels more optimistic about the future, that is going to help employment.발음듣기

다른 번역문 등록

And obviously, utilization itself if we want to run the factory lines longer, we are going to need more people to run those lines.발음듣기

다른 번역문 등록

So that will also increase employment.발음듣기

다른 번역문 등록

This is like the general feedback loop you can add little nuanced twists to this, but this is the general idea of a why a moderate level of inflation is kind of associated with this virtuous cycle you normally see in a good economy.발음듣기

다른 번역문 등록

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